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Fairfax Climate Watch

There's a book that could (or should?) be written on excluded feedbacks in the climate models.
-Matt

Shizel

You Can Find Videos & Movies Here!
- http://climatestate.com/magazine/

People say, "It's complicated", when they know it is bad.
we hope when there is bad news, the worse the news, the more we hope. this is why you are so hopeful. yes slavery was abolished, communism fell apart, civil rights blossomed, Nelson Mandela was freed. but what, hasn't changed? it's war. war has not changed. war has been the constant loyal friend throughout all history. look what 1°C has already wrought. mix in war and 2°C and the conclusion is inevitable. you know this.

FUN WITH NUMBERS
The acidity of the oceans will more than double in the next 40 years. This rate is 10 times faster than 55 million years ago when when a mass extinction of marine life occurred. It is also faster than during 4 of earth's biggest mass extinction events during the last 300 hundred million years -- faster than even the great Permian mass extinction event where 95% of life on earth vanished 250 million years ago. The oceans are now 30% more acidic than in pre-industrial times. In less than 40 years they will be 60% more acidic than then. They may well be 4 times as acidic by the end of this century. Talk about hairline fractures.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=dQJHJ6dbhsA
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wmrrvny0cWQ
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/05/08/1976351/acidification-arctic/
http://www.earth.columbia.edu/articles/view/2951
http://readthescience.com/2012/09/17/climate-change-book-review-under-a-green-sky/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cPgfnwi2m9M&feature=player_embedded

When ice ages come and go the planet can change temperature 5°C in as little as 5,000 years. 50 times slower than what we are doing to earth now. In the past, a 5°C change normally takes 20,000 years, we are going to do 5°C in 50-100 years, 200 times faster.
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/GlobalWarming/page3.php
http://oceanservice.noaa.gov/education/pd/climate/factsheets/iscurrent.pdf

Climate change is happening 100 times faster than in the past.
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=todays-climate-change-proves-much-faster-than-changes-in-past-65-million-years

By 2025, humans will impact 50% of earth's biosphere. This will cause a planetary ecological state shift leading to a mass extinction event that is unstoppable and irreversible once started.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D-UjEaCoVVU
http://www.ecoshock.info/2012/06/planet-shift-no-return.html

Why does nobody talk about the thousands of 1-kilometer wide bubbling methane seabeds recorded in 2011.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/vast-methane-plumes-seen-in-arctic-ocean-as-sea-ice-retreats-6276278.html

Only 1% of methane needs to be released to cause total disaster.
Peter Wadhams interview
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_biGUz6ACBg

Natalia Shakhova interview:
do you believe scientists
who spent 30 years in the arctic
or do you believe scientists
who spent 30 years at their computer?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kx1Jxk6kjbQ


you look for Disqus > Shizel > voodroom.weebly

Fairfax Climate Watch

Thanks for the video links - I'm already enjoying the first one I happened to click on: "Crude - the incredible Journey of Oil." Also check out the video collection on this site too,
http://www.fairfaxclimatewatch.com/blog/climate-change-video.html
-Matt

Fairfax Climate Watch

Check out the newly updated methane and "δ13C in CH₄" graphs in the War Room:
http://www.fairfaxclimatewatch.com/blog/the-war-room.html

If isotope Carbon 13 values in methane (δ13C in CH₄) change from previous seasonal patterns, that is an indicator of a new source of methane.

If δ13C in CH₄ falls sharply, it could indicate methane hydrate release in that area.

Local variations give some clue as to the point sources. Some places are more insulated from seasonal fluctuations and point sources than others.

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new book

Traps: A New Theory on the Origins of Civilization and Modern Economic and Climate Traps.

Due out in print December 26, 2014

The e-book early-release version is available now for $9.99 (USD): http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00M0ESMWM

Traps examines the trajectory of natural resource use since the last glacial period and then explains how the world can stop using fossil fuels while simultaneously enhancing economic growth.

~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

Highlighted Research

Convert carbon dioxide (CO2) weight to carbon (C) weight

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CO2/3.67 = C 

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ex: 40 GtCO2 ≈ 10.9 GtC

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1 Gt (Gigatonne) = 1 billion tonnes

1 tonne = 1,000 kg

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Also: 1 Pg = 1 Gt

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1 Pg (Petagram) = 1 quadrillion grams

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Soil specialists tend to use Pg, as they are used to working with gram units per square meter of soil area. Atmospheric specialists tend to use Gt. 


Convert carbon emissions to ppm atmospheric CO2

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GtC/2.12 = ppm

To convert emissions of carbon to atmospheric ppm CO2, carbon sinks must be taken into account. 

So far, terrestrial and oceanic sinks have taken up about 50% of CO2.

source

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ex: 40 GtCO2 emissions ≈ 10.9 GtC

10.9 GtC/2.12 ≈ 5.14 ppm CO2 before accounting for sinks

5.14 ppm CO2 x 0.5 ≈ 2.57 ppm CO2 after accounting for sinks

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